There’s not a lot (for me) to go on in terms of having seen many of the CAN teams play yet – I caught a bit of Egypt – Ivory Coast the other day, but haven’t seen South Africa for a while, and certainly haven’t seen Cape Verde. As such, I’ll probably play it cautious and work with what information I can use. South Africa’s home games since 2010 have followed a pretty predictable pattern. They tend not to contain a lot of goals, just under 2 (1.93) and, as such, if Bafana Bafana concede win, they tend to have kept a clean sheet – of 15 victories in 28 games, only 3 have seen the opposition score – there’s some decent opposition included in that, too; Ghana and Denmark probably the pick. Meanwhile, Cape Verde, who knocked out Cameroon in one of the surprises of qualifying, are a little bit erratic. There’s some impressive results in their locker; those games against Cameroon (particularly the home leg) and a 0-0 with Portugal. They have, though, failed to score in 7 of their last 18 games including the last two. The decision here for me is whether Cape Verde score. South Africa, I think, will win which means, really, I’m working with either 2-1 or 2-0. I’d <i>like</i> to see the Blue Sharks score, but – Ryan Mendes or no, I find it difficult to see. Which leaves me at 2-0. The scorer, given the scarcity of South African goals lately, is a little more up in the air. I like Mphela, but he’s been out injured recently – 2 goals in 287 minutes in the ABSA Prem (1 goal every 143.5 minutes) but I think, despite only coming in at 1 per 137.3 minutes in the league, I’m going to take Bernard Parker; he’s scored 9 times this season, so its fair to assume he’s slightly sharper than his partner. So then.
South Africa’s Home Results Since 2010 (South Africa goals at top)
South Africa to win 2-0 @ 5/1
Bernard Parker FGS @ 5/1
Scorecast @ 18/1
Only South Africa to score @6/5